Market — Sunshine Coast detached

All figures detached houses only, from the Coastwatch archive · sold prices are final-list-price proxies calibrated by the measured list→sale ratio · updated 2026-10-02T07:22
391
active listings
617
sold, last 12 mo
413 priced so far
7.6
months of inventory
>6 = buyer's market
79
median days on market (actives)
84
median days to sell
from 648 sale pairs
97.6%
sale ÷ list price
measured, 648 pairs
8.7%
appreciation /yr since 2015
repeat-sales median

Seller motivation — my watchlist (76 listings)

36.8%
have cut price this listing
median total cut -6.1%
11.8%
are relists
listed before, failed to sell

Speed by community — months of inventory

actives ÷ monthly sales. Shorter bar = faster market. Balanced ≈ 4–6.
Halfmoon Bay
6.1 mo 42 act · 83 sold
Sechelt
6.4 mo 125 act · 233 sold
West Howe Sound
7.0 mo 29 act · 50 sold
Gibsons
7.3 mo 41 act · 67 sold
Pender Harbour / Egmont
9.3 mo 69 act · 89 sold
Elphinstone
10.3 mo 47 act · 55 sold
Roberts Creek
11.1 mo 37 act · 40 sold

Days on market — sitting vs selling

median DOM of current actives; days-to-sell where sale pairs exist.
Elphinstone
57d sitting · sells in ~106d
Gibsons
60d sitting · sells in ~77d
Sechelt
65d sitting · sells in ~87d
Roberts Creek
93d sitting · sells in ~89d
Pender Harbour / Egmont
95d sitting · sells in ~70d
West Howe Sound
102d sitting · sells in ~86d
Halfmoon Bay
120d sitting · sells in ~90d

What's moving — by price band

Sold-band assignment comes from the priced sample (413 of 617 enriched so far), scaled to estimated totals — the sample currently skews Sechelt, so treat band MOI as directional until the backfill finishes.
BandActiveSold 12mo (est)MOI (est)Median DOM
< $500k 14 14 (9 sampled) 12.0 92
$500–650k 15 57 (36 sampled) 3.2 78
$650–800k 74 139 (88 sampled) 6.4 54
$800k–1M 65 144 (91 sampled) 5.4 41
$1–1.5M 113 188 (119 sampled) 7.2 82
$1.5M+ 110 111 (70 sampled) 11.9 103

BRRRR margin — renovated vs dated $/sqft (solds)

The spread is the value-add you can renovate into. Needs ≥3 of each per community.
CommunityDated $/sqftRenovated $/sqftSpread
Elphinstone555455 +-100/sqft
Gibsons550510 +-40/sqft
Halfmoon Bay557367 +-190/sqft
Sechelt491533 +43/sqft
West Howe Sound569419 +-150/sqft
e.g. a 2,000 sqft dated house carries roughly $-200,000 of renovatable upside in Elphinstone at current prices.

Ask vs sold $/sqft

Where asking $/sqft runs far above sold $/sqft, sellers are anchored high — negotiate.
CommunityAsk $/sqftSold $/sqftGap
Elphinstone576 548 +28
Gibsons557 545 +12
Halfmoon Bay653 541 +112
Pender Harbour / Egmont524 489 +35
Roberts Creek687 732 -45
Sechelt475 495 -20
West Howe Sound638 552 +86

Appreciation by era — repeat sales, coast-wide

Median annualized growth from 773 same-property sale pairs (registered prices).
1990–2000
10.7%/yr (n=84)
2000–2010
9.1%/yr (n=171)
2010–2015
4.4%/yr (n=106)
2015–2020
7.0%/yr (n=175)
2020–2023
9.7%/yr (n=166)
2023–2026
9.6%/yr (n=32)

Appreciation by community — since 2015

Repeat-sales medians. Small n = wide error bars; treat gaps of <2%/yr as noise.
Elphinstone
11.9%/yr (n=31)
Halfmoon Bay
10.7%/yr (n=36)
West Howe Sound
9.1%/yr (n=17)
Pender Harbour / Egmont
8.9%/yr (n=51)
Sechelt
8.8%/yr (n=165)
Roberts Creek
8.2%/yr (n=13)
Gibsons
6.5%/yr (n=49)
No forward projections here on purpose: ~51 sales/mo is too thin to fit a model that beats "recent trend continues." The measured history above is the honest signal.

Community detail

CommunityActiveMedian askDOM Sold 12moMOIDays to sell Sale/listCAGR '15+
Elphinstone 47$1,199,000 5755 10.3106 97.9% 11.9%
Gibsons 41$1,079,000 6067 7.377 98.4% 6.5%
Halfmoon Bay 42$1,224,500 12083 6.190 96.9% 10.7%
Pender Harbour / Egmont 69$999,000 9589 9.370 97.9% 8.9%
Roberts Creek 37$1,339,000 9340 11.189 97.0% 8.2%
Sechelt 125$995,000 65233 6.487 97.7% 8.8%
West Howe Sound 29$1,349,000 10250 7.086 96.8% 9.1%